Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Toffoli 50.7% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 69.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 81.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 56.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Beagle
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
62.5% (24)
-5.3%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
33.3% (6)
+54.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
25.0% (4)
+26.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Beagle shoots right. Toffoli is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Beagle
Toffoli
Home
62.0% (200)
52.9% (17)
Away
53.4% (264)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Beagle
Toffoli
P1
55.8%
58.3%
P2
60.1%
50.0%
P3
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%