Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Gourde 49.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 53.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 90.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 63.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Beagle
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beagle
Gourde
Last 5: Beagle 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
49.1% (731)
+8.1%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
54.3% (81)
+33.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
48.2% (85)
+3.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Beagle
Gourde
Home
62.0% (200)
50.9% (479)
Away
53.4% (264)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Beagle
Gourde
P1
55.8%
51.2%
P2
60.1%
49.8%
P3
54.5%
47.5%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |