Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Gourde 48.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 54.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 76.8%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Beagle
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Beagle
Gourde
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Beagle
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
1
Beagle
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
48.4% (4,954)
+9.1%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
57.4% (376)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
39.9% (554)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Beagle
Gourde
Home
59.1% (3,228)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Beagle
Gourde
P1
57.4%
49.9%
P2
57.1%
47.4%
P3
56.2%
47.5%
OT
41.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |