Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.1% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 70.9%
Defensive zone
Megna 66.1%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.9%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Megna
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
46.5% (101)
+0.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
37.5% (8)
+19.6%
On power play, Megna has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Megna is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Megna shoots right. Lorentz is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Megna
Lorentz
Home
55.9% (59)
49.1% (53)
Away
40.4% (57)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Megna
Lorentz
P1
42.5%
48.6%
P2
48.5%
36.7%
P3
53.5%
57.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
48.3%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
45.5%