Adam Henrique vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Pageau 55.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 55.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Henrique
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Pageau
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
57.1% (905)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
55.2% (116)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
48.0% (204)
-0.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Henrique
Pageau
Home
56.4% (553)
57.0% (618)
Away
50.0% (530)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Henrique
Pageau
P1
51.7%
54.4%
P2
55.5%
61.0%
P3
52.5%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |