Blake Lizotte vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Pageau 58.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 73.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 80.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 77.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Lizotte
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lizotte
Pageau
Last 7: Lizotte 1-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Lizotte
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Lizotte
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
59.6% (711)
-6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
64.0% (114)
-64.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
56.4% (163)
-17.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +64.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Pageau
Home
52.0% (198)
59.3% (506)
Away
49.7% (149)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Lizotte
Pageau
P1
50.0%
56.8%
P2
50.9%
64.4%
P3
52.2%
56.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |