Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs Pageau 58.8% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 65.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 67.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Groulx
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Groulx
Pageau
Last 5: Groulx 3-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Groulx
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
59.1% (687)
-9.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
69.4% (36)
-69.4%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
60.1% (213)
-32.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +69.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Groulx is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Groulx shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Groulx
Pageau
Home
52.8% (36)
57.8% (377)
Away
36.7% (49)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Groulx
Pageau
P1
50.0%
54.1%
P2
40.6%
62.1%
P3
41.9%
61.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |