Casey Mittelstadt vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Pageau 55.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 94.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 76.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 87.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Mittelstadt
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Mittelstadt
Pageau
Last 10: Mittelstadt 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Mittelstadt
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
6
Mittelstadt
Pageau
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
57.1% (905)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
55.2% (116)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
48.0% (204)
+2.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Pageau
Home
47.7% (583)
57.0% (618)
Away
46.4% (541)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Pageau
P1
50.0%
54.4%
P2
46.2%
61.0%
P3
45.5%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |