Dylan Strome vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Pageau 58.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 89.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Strome
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Strome
Pageau
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
5
Strome
Pageau
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Strome
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Strome
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
59.1% (687)
-2.9%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
69.4% (36)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
60.1% (213)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (358).
Strome shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Strome
Pageau
Home
55.7% (627)
57.8% (377)
Away
62.2% (539)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Strome
Pageau
P1
61.6%
54.1%
P2
54.5%
62.1%
P3
60.4%
61.8%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |