Jake Evans vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Pageau 58.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 91.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 50.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Evans
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Evans
Pageau
Last 5: Evans 4-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Evans
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
59.6% (711)
-5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
64.0% (114)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
56.4% (163)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Evans
Pageau
Home
55.1% (541)
59.3% (506)
Away
50.8% (581)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Evans
Pageau
P1
51.8%
56.8%
P2
53.3%
64.4%
P3
53.8%
56.9%
OT
38.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |