Jake Evans vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Pageau 54.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 55.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Evans
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Evans
Pageau
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
5
Evans
Pageau
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
5
Evans
Pageau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
7
Evans
Pageau
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
55.7% (9,486)
-1.9%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
57.0% (1,002)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
49.6% (2,069)
-2.5%
On power play, Evans has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Home / Away
Evans
Pageau
Home
53.4% (2,593)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Evans
Pageau
P1
54.0%
54.6%
P2
50.9%
56.3%
P3
52.0%
53.5%
OT
46.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Jake Evans |