Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joe Pavelski
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 60.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 65.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Pageau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Pageau
Pavelski
Last 9: Pageau 7-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
0
Pageau
Pavelski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Pageau
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
52.5% (570)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
54.5% (145)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
44.4% (36)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Pageau shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Pageau
Pavelski
Home
57.1% (674)
55.0% (391)
Away
53.5% (678)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Pageau
Pavelski
P1
56.9%
50.8%
P2
54.5%
55.0%
P3
54.7%
52.0%
OT
52.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |