Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Josh Norris
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Norris 49.7% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 58.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Pageau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
50.0% (356)
+9.1%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
48.7% (76)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
42.9% (7)
+17.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Pageau
Norris
Home
57.8% (377)
47.2% (193)
Away
61.0% (559)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Pageau
Norris
P1
54.1%
53.8%
P2
62.1%
48.2%
P3
61.8%
47.9%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |