Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Josh Norris
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Norris 49.4% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 62.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 83.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 77.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Pageau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
50.2% (203)
+9.0%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
44.4% (36)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
42.9% (7)
+18.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Norris is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Pageau
Norris
Home
59.5% (299)
44.3% (115)
Away
60.4% (389)
53.4% (131)
By Period
Pageau
Norris
P1
55.3%
52.1%
P2
62.2%
50.0%
P3
61.1%
45.6%
Final 5 min
62.4%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |