Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Josh Norris
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Norris 53.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 54.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Pageau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pageau
Norris
Last 8: Pageau 4-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
3
Pageau
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
53.6% (560)
+6.0%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
56.0% (109)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
53.1% (98)
+3.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Pageau
Norris
Home
59.3% (506)
53.6% (373)
Away
60.0% (482)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Pageau
Norris
P1
56.8%
61.8%
P2
64.4%
51.7%
P3
56.9%
49.8%
OT
75.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |