Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Josh Norris
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Norris 51.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 80.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 63.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 58.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Pageau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Pageau
Norris
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
7
Pageau
Norris
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Pageau
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
52.2% (542)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
54.4% (57)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
46.7% (30)
+1.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Pageau
Norris
Home
57.0% (618)
50.7% (351)
Away
53.9% (607)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Pageau
Norris
P1
54.4%
55.6%
P2
61.0%
49.3%
P3
51.0%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |