Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Celebrini 49.4% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 61.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Pageau
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pageau
Celebrini
Last 9: Pageau 6-3 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
3
Pageau
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Celebrini
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
48.3% (717)
+10.9%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
54.9% (91)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
61.9% (21)
-0.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Celebrini is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Pageau
Celebrini
Home
59.5% (299)
47.3% (412)
Away
60.4% (389)
51.3% (417)
By Period
Pageau
Celebrini
P1
55.3%
45.6%
P2
62.2%
50.9%
P3
61.1%
51.4%
OT
80.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
62.4%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |