Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.7% vs Celebrini 48.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 50.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Pageau
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Pageau
Celebrini
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
6
Pageau
Celebrini
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
3
Pageau
Celebrini
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Celebrini
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,301)
47.7% (1,618)
+8.0%
Power Play
56.8% (989)
54.8% (230)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (2,019)
59.4% (32)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Pageau shoots right. Celebrini is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Pageau
Celebrini
Home
56.3% (6,136)
47.5% (965)
Away
53.2% (6,173)
50.1% (915)
By Period
Pageau
Celebrini
P1
54.7%
46.1%
P2
56.2%
48.4%
P3
53.3%
51.6%
OT
54.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |