Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Jankowski
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Jankowski 50.5% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 89.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 81.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Pageau
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pageau
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
51.3% (347)
+8.3%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
72.7% (11)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
44.0% (75)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jankowski
Home
59.3% (506)
46.8% (188)
Away
60.0% (482)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Pageau
Jankowski
P1
56.8%
51.6%
P2
64.4%
49.3%
P3
56.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
61.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |