Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Jankowski
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Jankowski 53.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 56.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 71.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Pageau
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
Jankowski
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
54.1% (527)
+5.0%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
50.0% (14)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
57.5% (40)
+2.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jankowski
Home
57.8% (377)
53.9% (310)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Pageau
Jankowski
P1
54.1%
54.6%
P2
62.1%
56.3%
P3
61.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |