Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Kastelic
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 56.9%). Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Kastelic 55.9% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Pageau 69.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 61.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Pageau
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
58.0% (476)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
75.0% (8)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
50.9% (106)
-2.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kastelic
Home
59.0% (595)
64.9% (265)
Away
55.7% (661)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Pageau
Kastelic
P1
58.9%
58.5%
P2
57.9%
55.6%
P3
55.6%
56.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%