Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Scheifele
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 81.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Pageau
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
48.7% (981)
+10.9%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
53.2% (250)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
43.2% (37)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Pageau
Scheifele
Home
59.3% (506)
50.0% (672)
Away
60.0% (482)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Pageau
Scheifele
P1
56.8%
51.4%
P2
64.4%
45.1%
P3
56.9%
51.9%
OT
75.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |