Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Scheifele
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 71.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Pageau
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
Scheifele
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Pageau
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
46.5% (878)
+12.6%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
48.3% (174)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
50.0% (54)
+10.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Pageau
Scheifele
Home
57.8% (377)
46.2% (571)
Away
61.0% (559)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Pageau
Scheifele
P1
54.1%
51.9%
P2
62.1%
45.6%
P3
61.8%
43.9%
OT
75.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |