Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matthew Poitras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Poitras 45.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 70.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 93.9%
93.9%
6.1%
Pageau
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pageau
Poitras
Last 8: Pageau 6-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Poitras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Poitras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
43.6% (388)
+12.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
60.0% (10)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
66.7% (3)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Poitras is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poitras
Home
56.3% (6,214)
43.6% (195)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
44.7% (206)
By Period
Pageau
Poitras
P1
54.6%
42.6%
P2
56.3%
45.5%
P3
53.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |