Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matthew Poitras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Poitras 48.3% (+20.8%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 61.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Pageau
Poitras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
35.3% (17)
+23.8%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
100.0% (1)
-30.6%
On power play, Poitras has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Poitras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poitras
Home
57.8% (377)
28.6% (7)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.5% (11)
By Period
Pageau
Poitras
P1
54.1%
50.0%
P2
62.1%
33.3%
P3
61.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
38.9%