Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matthew Poitras
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Poitras 45.5% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 70.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Pageau
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pageau
Poitras
Last 8: Pageau 6-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Poitras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Poitras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
43.3% (245)
+13.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
50.0% (6)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
66.7% (3)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Poitras is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poitras
Home
57.0% (618)
44.6% (121)
Away
53.9% (607)
42.9% (133)
By Period
Pageau
Poitras
P1
54.4%
41.5%
P2
61.0%
45.4%
P3
51.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |