Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Michael McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs McLeod 58.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 67.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 54.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
20
(36 meetings)
16
20
Pageau
McLeod
Last 10: Pageau 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
5
Pageau
McLeod
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
10
Pageau
McLeod
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
5
Pageau
McLeod
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
59.2% (2,894)
-3.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
57.4% (101)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
53.5% (525)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
56.3% (6,214)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
54.6%
58.7%
P2
56.3%
59.9%
P3
53.5%
56.3%
OT
54.4%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |