Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Michael McLeod
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs McLeod 63.0% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 69.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 66.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 64.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pageau
McLeod
Last 6: Pageau 1-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Pageau
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Pageau
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
64.8% (509)
-7.7%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
68.4% (19)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
65.3% (124)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
57.0% (618)
64.3% (308)
Away
53.9% (607)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
54.4%
62.9%
P2
61.0%
64.8%
P3
51.0%
67.9%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |