Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Michael McLeod
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs McLeod 59.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 62.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 56.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pageau
McLeod
Last 5: Pageau 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Pageau
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
61.5% (792)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
65.2% (23)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
55.6% (153)
-7.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
59.0% (595)
62.0% (460)
Away
55.7% (661)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
58.9%
61.5%
P2
57.9%
63.6%
P3
55.6%
56.2%
OT
44.4%
73.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |