Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Michael Rasmussen
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Rasmussen 50.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 62.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Pageau
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pageau
Rasmussen
Last 7: Pageau 4-3 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Rasmussen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Rasmussen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Rasmussen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
50.8% (333)
+8.0%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
60.7% (28)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
45.9% (37)
+2.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Rasmussen is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rasmussen
Home
59.0% (595)
51.4% (212)
Away
55.7% (661)
50.5% (186)
By Period
Pageau
Rasmussen
P1
58.9%
54.5%
P2
57.9%
43.4%
P3
55.6%
54.2%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |