Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Michael Rasmussen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Rasmussen 48.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 84.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 97.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 95.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Pageau
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
9
(28 meetings)
19
9
Pageau
Rasmussen
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
3
Pageau
Rasmussen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
4
Pageau
Rasmussen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
9
2
Pageau
Rasmussen
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
48.3% (1,870)
+7.4%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
53.9% (154)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
41.5% (147)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Rasmussen is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rasmussen
Home
56.3% (6,214)
48.4% (1,087)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.1% (1,084)
By Period
Pageau
Rasmussen
P1
54.6%
47.8%
P2
56.3%
49.5%
P3
53.5%
47.0%
OT
54.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |