Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nazem Kadri
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Kadri 47.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 62.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Pageau
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pageau
Kadri
Last 8: Pageau 6-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Pageau
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
46.2% (1,005)
+12.6%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
57.3% (199)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
26.7% (30)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kadri
Home
59.0% (595)
47.4% (641)
Away
55.7% (661)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Pageau
Kadri
P1
58.9%
46.9%
P2
57.9%
49.5%
P3
55.6%
46.2%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |