Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nazem Kadri
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Kadri 47.6% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 59.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Pageau
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
47.4% (821)
+11.7%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
48.8% (86)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
38.5% (13)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kadri
Home
57.8% (377)
46.6% (487)
Away
61.0% (559)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Pageau
Kadri
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
62.1%
50.2%
P3
61.8%
40.2%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |