Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Hartman
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Hartman 45.5% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 70.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 90.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Pageau
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pageau
Hartman
Last 6: Pageau 5-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Pageau
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
44.8% (830)
+14.3%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
47.8% (92)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
37.5% (16)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hartman
Home
57.8% (377)
45.0% (515)
Away
61.0% (559)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Pageau
Hartman
P1
54.1%
46.5%
P2
62.1%
39.9%
P3
61.8%
48.6%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |