Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Hartman
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 71.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Pageau
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Pageau
Hartman
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
6
Pageau
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
1
Pageau
Hartman
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
45.2% (4,235)
+10.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
47.4% (443)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
42.4% (262)
+7.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hartman
Home
56.3% (6,214)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Pageau
Hartman
P1
54.6%
46.0%
P2
56.3%
42.9%
P3
53.5%
46.8%
OT
54.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |