Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Hartman
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Hartman 47.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 71.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Pageau
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Pageau
Hartman
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
5
Pageau
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
0
Pageau
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
47.1% (649)
+10.0%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
47.1% (68)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
45.2% (73)
+2.8%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hartman
Home
57.0% (618)
46.5% (361)
Away
53.9% (607)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Pageau
Hartman
P1
54.4%
45.1%
P2
61.0%
44.4%
P3
51.0%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |