Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 55.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+14.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pageau 72.3%
Defensive zone Pageau 70.3%
Neutral zone Pageau 74.8%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Pageau Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 3 (7 meetings)
4
3
Pageau Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Pageau 4-3 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Pageau Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau Nugent-Hopkins
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
43.0% (349)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
31.8% (88)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +19.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.1% (674)
38.5% (231)
Away
53.5% (678)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.9%
40.2%
P2
54.5%
36.0%
P3
54.7%
45.1%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
37.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
55.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
40.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 11, 2022 3 19:39 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 11, 2022 3 10:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 11, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 11, 2022 2 10:17 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 11, 2022 2 00:00 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 11, 2022 1 17:07 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 11, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau