Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 62.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
47.6% (189)
+11.6%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
100.0% (2)
-30.4%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
29.4% (17)
+31.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.5% (299)
48.5% (132)
Away
60.4% (389)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.3%
51.4%
P2
62.2%
41.3%
P3
61.1%
48.5%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |