Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Carrick
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 49.3% vs Carrick 46.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 79.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 59.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Pageau
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Pageau
Carrick
Last 8: Pageau 5-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Pageau
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (536)
41.6% (89)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (132)
50.0% (2)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Pageau is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Pageau shoots right. Carrick is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carrick
Home
51.0% (347)
39.6% (53)
Away
47.3% (334)
44.7% (38)
By Period
Pageau
Carrick
P1
54.4%
41.7%
P2
47.3%
38.7%
P3
45.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
49.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |