Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Carrick
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Carrick 53.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 65.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 54.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 64.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Pageau
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
53.9% (521)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
57.1% (35)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
51.5% (229)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carrick
Home
57.0% (618)
52.7% (408)
Away
53.9% (607)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Pageau
Carrick
P1
54.4%
51.4%
P2
61.0%
56.6%
P3
51.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |