Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Monahan
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 54.9%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Monahan 54.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 77.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 70.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Pageau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Pageau
Monahan
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
9
Pageau
Monahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Pageau
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
57.1% (871)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
53.1% (262)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
44.6% (139)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Pageau
Monahan
Home
57.0% (618)
55.3% (644)
Away
53.9% (607)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Pageau
Monahan
P1
54.4%
53.9%
P2
61.0%
55.3%
P3
51.0%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |