Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Pageau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Pageau
Monahan
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
3
Pageau
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
2
Pageau
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
53.2% (823)
+5.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
55.3% (159)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
48.4% (95)
+11.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Pageau
Monahan
Home
57.8% (377)
54.6% (529)
Away
61.0% (559)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Pageau
Monahan
P1
54.1%
49.0%
P2
62.1%
55.4%
P3
61.8%
53.6%
OT
75.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |