Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tyler Johnson
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 52.0% vs Johnson 48.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 90.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 58.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 71.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Pageau
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pageau
Johnson
Last 8: Pageau 2-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Pageau
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Pageau
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
48.5% (776)
+5.6%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
56.7% (157)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
26.4% (53)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Pageau is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pageau shoots right. Johnson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Pageau
Johnson
Home
54.7% (592)
48.8% (482)
Away
49.6% (585)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Pageau
Johnson
P1
51.0%
50.3%
P2
54.3%
48.5%
P3
51.8%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |