Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tyler Johnson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Johnson 45.7% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Pageau
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
44.6% (285)
+12.5%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
46.7% (60)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
16.7% (6)
+31.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Johnson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Pageau
Johnson
Home
57.0% (618)
50.8% (179)
Away
53.9% (607)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Pageau
Johnson
P1
54.4%
41.3%
P2
61.0%
41.8%
P3
51.0%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |