Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tyler Johnson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 79.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 72.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 55.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Pageau
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Pageau
Johnson
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
7
Pageau
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
4
Pageau
Johnson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
5
Pageau
Johnson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
49.8% (5,396)
+5.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
54.6% (885)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
42.3% (707)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Pageau
Johnson
Home
56.3% (6,214)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Pageau
Johnson
P1
54.6%
50.1%
P2
56.3%
50.6%
P3
53.5%
48.4%
OT
54.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |