Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Yanni Gourde
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 58.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 79.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Pageau
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Pageau
Gourde
Last 9: Pageau 5-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Pageau
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
48.0% (914)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
54.2% (48)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
43.9% (123)
+4.1%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gourde
Home
57.0% (618)
50.2% (512)
Away
53.9% (607)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Pageau
Gourde
P1
54.4%
50.0%
P2
61.0%
45.3%
P3
51.0%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |