Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Yanni Gourde

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 55.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pageau 58.0%
Defensive zone Pageau 79.0%
Neutral zone Pageau 73.2%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Pageau Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Pageau Gourde
Last 9: Pageau 5-4 Gourde

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Pageau Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau Gourde
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
48.0% (914)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
54.2% (48)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
43.9% (123)
+4.1%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gourde
Home
57.0% (618)
50.2% (512)
Away
53.9% (607)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Pageau
Gourde
P1
54.4%
50.0%
P2
61.0%
45.3%
P3
51.0%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
55.4%
Gourde
54.0%
46.0%
47.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 13, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Yanni Gourde
Feb 13, 2024 2 03:16 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 13, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 13, 2024 1 18:22 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 13, 2024 1 15:04 Defensive Yanni Gourde
Feb 13, 2024 1 15:02 Defensive Yanni Gourde
Feb 13, 2024 1 03:27 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 13, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Yanni Gourde
Nov 16, 2023 1 04:14 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau