Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Yanni Gourde
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Pageau
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pageau
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Pageau
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
47.2% (654)
+11.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
45.0% (20)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
32.2% (87)
+27.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gourde
Home
57.8% (377)
44.1% (322)
Away
61.0% (559)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Pageau
Gourde
P1
54.1%
42.4%
P2
62.1%
49.8%
P3
61.8%
44.3%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |