Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+16.2%)
Offensive zone
Pageau 58.9%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 50.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Pageau
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
43.2% (146)
+15.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
50.0% (2)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
44.8% (29)
+15.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Pageau
Girgensons
Home
57.8% (377)
40.3% (72)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Pageau
Girgensons
P1
54.1%
43.8%
P2
62.1%
44.6%
P3
61.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
63.1%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%