Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 83.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Pageau
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Pageau
Girgensons
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
4
5
Pageau
Girgensons
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
3
Pageau
Girgensons
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
45.4% (2,700)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
49.1% (175)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
42.2% (481)
+7.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Girgensons is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Pageau
Girgensons
Home
56.3% (6,214)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Pageau
Girgensons
P1
54.6%
45.7%
P2
56.3%
44.1%
P3
53.5%
45.5%
OT
54.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |