Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.5% vs Carter 52.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 84.2%
Defensive zone
Barkov 83.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 82.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Barkov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Barkov
Carter
Last 5: Barkov 0-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Barkov
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Barkov
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (856)
51.5% (934)
-5.1%
Power Play
45.0% (120)
58.5% (164)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
52.6% (95)
-10.3%
On power play, Carter has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Barkov is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Barkov shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Home / Away
Barkov
Carter
Home
46.7% (561)
55.1% (554)
Away
45.4% (441)
50.4% (639)
By Period
Barkov
Carter
P1
46.6%
50.8%
P2
48.5%
52.1%
P3
43.2%
54.8%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |