Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Carter 60.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 82.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 63.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Kopitar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kopitar
Carter
Last 6: Kopitar 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kopitar
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Kopitar
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
65.6% (262)
-9.2%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
68.3% (63)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
50.5% (99)
-5.0%
On power play, Carter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carter
Home
56.1% (786)
64.3% (207)
Away
54.0% (774)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Kopitar
Carter
P1
56.2%
65.3%
P2
55.4%
60.1%
P3
53.0%
63.8%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |